Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000115 0.000135 0.000156 0.000179 0.000205 0.000233 0.000264
2024-12-15 0.000086 0.000112 0.000141 0.000176 0.000215 0.000260 0.000312
2024-12-22 0.000073 0.000102 0.000136 0.000177 0.000227 0.000283 0.000350
2024-12-29 0.000061 0.000092 0.000130 0.000178 0.000237 0.000305 0.000388
2025-01-05 0.000052 0.000084 0.000124 0.000177 0.000243 0.000321 0.000419
2025-01-12 0.000043 0.000074 0.000116 0.000172 0.000244 0.000331 0.000441
2025-01-19 0.000039 0.000072 0.000116 0.000178 0.000258 0.000356 0.000481
2025-01-26 0.000032 0.000063 0.000108 0.000172 0.000257 0.000362 0.000499
2025-02-02 0.000028 0.000059 0.000105 0.000173 0.000264 0.000378 0.000528
2025-02-09 0.000024 0.000054 0.000101 0.000171 0.000267 0.000390 0.000552
2025-02-16 0.000022 0.000054 0.000103 0.000177 0.000281 0.000415 0.000592
2025-02-23 0.000020 0.000051 0.000101 0.000179 0.000288 0.000431 0.000622
2025-03-02 0.000016 0.000045 0.000095 0.000174 0.000288 0.000439 0.000642
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000041 0.000091 0.000174 0.000294 0.000453 0.000672
2025-03-16 0.000011 0.000038 0.000089 0.000173 0.000299 0.000467 0.000700
2025-03-23 0.000010 0.000036 0.000087 0.000175 0.000307 0.000487 0.000736
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000033 0.000084 0.000173 0.000310 0.000498 0.000761
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000029 0.000079 0.000169 0.000309 0.000504 0.000779
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000029 0.000080 0.000174 0.000322 0.000529 0.000822
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000025 0.000075 0.000169 0.000319 0.000532 0.000836
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000024 0.000073 0.000169 0.000325 0.000547 0.000866
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000021 0.000071 0.000168 0.000328 0.000557 0.000890
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000021 0.000072 0.000174 0.000342 0.000585 0.000936